Could reignite rally toward $10 as open interest, volumes remain high?

• Uniswap price falls for a third consecutive day after hitting its highest level in over two months.
• Open Interest also retreats but remains close to levels last seen in January.
• Technically, the MACD upholds a buy signal reinforced by bullish divergence between the indicator and price action.

Uniswap (UNI) price hovers at $6.69 at the time of writing on Tuesday after sliding for three consecutive days. The native decentralized exchange (DEX) token encountered heavy resistance clusters around the $7.68 area over the weekend, prompting instability and a drawdown potentially exacerbated by profit-taking. 

UNI’s over 2% drawdown on the day reflects broader tempered sentiment in the crypto market. The King of the crypto market, Bitcoin (BTC), retraced from its weekly peak of $105,819 to slightly below $102,000 during the early Asian session, highlighting existing short-term risks.

Interest in risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoins has been elevated over the past few weeks, buoyed by easing tariff tensions. The trade truce between the United States (US) and China on Monday and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish stance on the economy’s direction boosted sentiment and risk appetite. 

“Recent developments such as the Federal Reserveʼs positive comments on the rate trajectory and evolving clarity around the US tariff situation have allowed confidence to return to the markets,” the Bitfinex Alpha report states.

Uniwap’s uptrend falters despite elevated Open Interest levels 

Uniswap’s recent price rally stalled after hitting strong resistance near $7.68, a significant supply zone on the daily chart. The rally from the tariff-triggered crash at $4.58 to the weekly peak of $7.68 represents a 67.6% increase and reflects growing trader interest in the token.

CoinGlass derivatives data highlights a substantial turnaround in Uniswap futures Open Interest (OI), which grew by $172.8 million, from $183.7 million to approximately $356.5 million in 30 days.

Futures Open Interest | Source: Coinglass

At the same time, Uniswap’s DEX volume increased nearly 70% over the last week, reaching $19 million for the first time since February, per IntoTheBlock on-chain data. Uniswap is the largest DEX, boasting almost $3 billion trading volume over the past 24 hours.

Looking ahead: Can UNI reignite its uptrend toward $10?

Uniswap’s price trades at $6.69 at the time of writing. Following the rejection from the supply area around $7.68 (highlighted in red on the daily chart below), declines overshadowed support presented at $7.00 by the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator’s downward trend at 61.12 from an overbought peak of 76.54 signals waning bullish momentum, possibly due to profit-taking and a slump in trader interest in the broader crypto market.

Uniswap could extend the down leg to test the 50-day EMA support at $6.05 if the RSI drops to the midline of 50 and below. Such a move may create instability, increasing the probability of UNI retesting the April low of $4.58 before bulls attempt another recovery.

UNI/USDT daily chart

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains elevated above the centre line, upholding a buy signal sent on Thursday. The indicator features green histograms, implying that Uniswap still has the potential to resume the uptrend and push towards $10.00.