- Ethereum could see a brief rally after posting a similar price movement that resulted in a previous high.
- Two wallets suspected to be owned by Justin Sun have been buying Ethereum heavily.
- Ethereum ETP outflows in April hit $85 million.
Ethereum’s (ETH) recent price movement hints at a potential rally despite ETH ETPs recording outflows. The recent price improvement follows the fourth Bitcoin halving and a suspected Justin Sun wallet purchasing large numbers of ETH.
Daily digest market movers: potential Justin Sun buying spree, ETP outflows
Ethereum began the week on a positive note following Bitcoin’s successful halving. Here are today’s market movers for the number one altcoin:
- Ethereum’s price consolidation continues to attract whales as a recent whale address – suspected to be Justin Sun’s – has purchased 127,388 ETH worth $405.19 million since April 8, according to Lookonchain.
Since March 31, the address has deposited $787 million USDT to Binance via the Tron blockchain. On the same day, an unknown individual created a wallet on Ethereum and withdrew $96 million worth of stablecoins from Binance.
The wallet began purchasing ETH from Binance and decentralized exchanges (DEX), buying a total of 127,388 ETH. The transaction behavior of this wallet is similar to another suspected Justin Sun wallet that bought 168,369 ETH at $2,894 from Binance and DEXs between February 12 and February 24, according to Lookonchain.
- While whales are scooping up ETH, ETH ETP investors are selling, as the largest altcoin saw $34 million in outflows the past week, according to CoinShares. This brings its total outflows in April to $85 million. In comparison, Bitcoin had $333 million in inflows, probably fueled by its fourth halving.
Also read: Ethereum shows firm support at key level as its correlation with US indices increase
- On Sunday, President of ETF Store Neil Geraci commented on a potential spot ETH ETF approval in May. He stated that while the general consensus is that the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) will disapprove it in May, the regulator may be trying to avoid the fiasco that surrounded the spot Bitcoin ETF approval in January.
He further said that the SEC’s only two options are to either approve the spot ETH ETFs or face a lawsuit. When pressed on potential issuers that may bring the lawsuit, he stated:
Have to assume Grayscale, but some other enterprising ETF issuer w/ deep enough pockets could view this as a basic marketing expense…
Basically brand themself as “pro-crypto” & willing to go to bat for innovation.
— Nate Geraci (@NateGeraci) April 21, 2024
Technical analysis: ETH may see a brief rally, halving may not trigger bull run
Ethereum is showing signs of a potential upswing on Monday after a successful fourth Bitcoin halving on Friday. While ETH is still consolidating, it has posted similar movements to its April 5 to April 8 price pattern.
ETH/USDT 4-hour chart
ETH recorded a three-week high of $3,730 on April 8, following the move. As a result, ETH may see a brief rally, if it breaks the $3,279 resistance of April 15, especially if it rejects a downturn to move past the $3,300 key level. This thesis would be invalidated if ETH trades below the $2,914 support of April 17.
Read more: Ethereum declines as crypto market crash increases bearish sentiment
While much of the general consensus is that ETH would see an increase in the long term following a potential Bitcoin post-halving rally, market dynamics may be different this time.
This is mainly because key analysis from Glassnode and Coinbase suggests that this time, the reduction in Bitcoin issuance rate from the halving may not be strong enough to trigger a crypto market rally. However, a potential spot ETH ETF approval could ignite a rally.
