Analysts at BBH share their near-term outlook for the US Dollar Index (DXY).
Dollar rally should continue
“The dollar is trading higher in the wake of strong retail sales data. DXY traded at a new cycle near 106.437 earlier today but has since drifted lower to 106.266 currently. It remains on track to test the November 1 high near 107.113.”
“The euro is trading flat near $1.0625 but the clean break below $1.0755 sets up a test of the November 1 low near $1.0515. Elsewhere, sterling is trading flat near $1.2445 after mixed U.K. labor market data. USD/JPY traded at a new cycle high near 154.60 as jawboning becomes stale.”
“The dollar rally should continue as recent data confirm persistent inflation and robust growth in the U.S. The US data continue to come in mostly firmer and should keep upward pressure on US yields. We believe that while market easing expectations have adjusted violently after CPI, there is still room to go. When the market finally capitulates on the Fed, the dollar should gain further.”
